Basic Timing Model Portfolio

This model portfolio was originally designed in 1995 for the Nightly Business Report.  This model portfolio aims for full investment, but will, at times, accumulate cash. This content differs from the Drach Market Research Time Overlay approach, which is a more in-depth and active investment model published since 1977.  

Most recent position change(s):

2/3/26: Sold Independent Bank Corp (INDB) @84.52

1/23/26: Bought West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST) @236.66

Allocation as of most recent portfolio change (2/3/26)

Date Added Lot Size Symbol Description Current Price 
262,155.70 Cash Cash
3/29/2019               393 BA Boeing 233.15
10/25/2019               524 BA Boeing 233.15
1/24/2020            6,526 OZK Bank OZK 49.11
2/26/2021            1,199 CLX The Clorox Company 114.98
3/5/2021               442 MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc 160.28
5/21/2021               522 MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc 160.28
11/26/2021            1,613 DIS The Walt Disney Co 104.22
1/7/2022               496 POOL Pool Corp 252.95
8/26/2022            1,033 TSN Tyson Foods Inc Class A 64.76
1/5/2024            6,450 ARTNA Artesian Resources Corp Class A 33.29
8/16/2024            3,497 SCL Stepan Co 59.33
10/11/2024            4,011 ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc 64.07
11/8/2024            3,427 CE Celanese Corp Class A  48.04
11/8/2024               688 ELV Elevance Health Inc  338.65
12/6/2024            3,279 MSEX Middlesex Water Co 51.34
2/7/2025            5,820 TTEK Tetra Tech Inc 39.02
4/25/2025               222 UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc 284.18
5/2/2025               699 UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc 284.18
5/23/2025               744 ELV Elevance Health Inc  338.65
7/3/2025               620 CHE Chemed Corp 433.11
7/11/2025               638 CHE Chemed Corp 433.11
7/25/2025            1,505 BMI Badger Meter Inc 147.43
8/22/2025               446 INTU Intuit Inc 434.09
8/22/2025               712 WSO Watsco Inc Ordinary Shares 390.43
10/31/2025            1,076 AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co 247.73
11/28/2025            2,223 ZTS Zoetis Inc Class A 122.41
1/16/2026               551 INTU Intuit Inc 434.09
1/23/2026            1,274 WST West Pharmaceutical Services Inc 230.95

Basic Summary

Relative performance (marked to market) vs. S&P 500 since initiation

This Portfolio Model +1005%

S&P 500 +1230%

Portfolio model initiated 5/5/95, archived and marked to market daily.

Initial S&P 500 level 520.12, Initial portfolio value $520,120.00.

Current portfolio value $5,745,629.99

Current $5,483,474.29 (95%) stock. $262,155.70 (5%) cash equivalents.


Summary of Closed Positions

Total Positions  896                  Average Position

      Profit     820 (92%)           Percentage       +7.81

      Loss        76  (8%)               Days Held         271

      Even         0  ( 0%)              Annualized       +10.53

These results are reflective as to capital capture and market price of current holdings, itemized on the Positions and Cash Ledger pages. They do not include regular cash dividends, interest earned on cash balances, or transaction costs. Certain special corporate actions will be included.


MODEL PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE


Basic Timing Model Portfolio +1005%

S&P 500 +1230%


Since Inception 5/5/1995

Updated 2/3/2026

Current Allocation

95% Stock

5% Cash


All content on this site is educational and is not investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor to determine the suitability of any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. For more information, see our terms here. Copyright © 2025, Drach Market Research. All rights reserved.
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