May 2, 2012

Position Changes: None. 

Major movements (+ or - one point or more among holdings): CH Robinson +1.50, World Fuel -3.54.

Basic Summary (positions itemized after daily commentary)

Relative performance (marked to market) vs. S&P 500 since initiation

This Portfolio Model   + 215%

S&P 500                + 169%

Portfolio model initiated 5/5/95, archived and marked to market daily.

Initial S&P 500 level 520.12, Initial portfolio value $520,120.00.

Current portfolio value $1,641,937.17, gain 214.68% 

These results are reflective as to capital capture and market price of current holdings, itemized below.  They do not include cash dividends, interest earned on cash balances, transaction costs, or anything else. 

Current Stock vs. Cash Allocation

$1,102,006.01 (67%) stock. $539,931.16 (33%) cash equivalents. 

Summary of Closed Positions

Total Positions  459                     Average Position

      Profit     413  (89.97%)       Percentage   +  7.19%

      Loss        46  (10.03%)           Days Held    220

      Even         0  ( 0%)           Annualized  + 11.93% 

The Nasdaq Composite (+9.41) managed a gain, but broadly based measures, this portfolio model, the S&P 500 (-3.51) and Dow Industrial (-10.75), posted moderate losses. 

Most media pointed to ongoing European debt problems and fears of a weak domestic jobs report (Friday) as cause for the weakness. However, keeping in mind that yesterday the Dow registered a four year high, today’s pullback was of no technical or fundamental significance.  

Underlying long term data sets remain decidedly positive as they have since the identifiable cyclical low March 2009.  Since then, the positive long term forecast has not changed and the Dow has advanced a little over 100%. 

Near term continues to favor choppy patterns. High probabilities of changing any positions tomorrow (Thursday) are lacking.