Position Changes: None.
Major movements (+ or - one point or more among holdings): 3M +1.36.
Basic Summary (positions itemized after daily commentary)
Relative performance (marked to market) vs. S&P 500 since initiation
This Portfolio Model + 214%
S&P 500 + 163%
Portfolio model initiated 5/5/95, archived and marked to market daily.
Initial S&P 500 level 520.12, Initial portfolio value $520,120.00.
Current portfolio value $1,635,712.91, gain 214.49%
These results are reflective as to capital capture and market price of current holdings, itemized below. They do not include cash dividends, interest earned on cash balances, transaction costs, or anything else.
Current Stock vs. Cash Allocation
$1,054,285.75 (64%) stock. $581,427.16 (36%) cash equivalents.
Summary of Closed Positions
Total Positions 459 Average Position
Profit 413 (89.97%) Percentage + 7.19%
Loss 46 (10.03%) Days Held 220
Even 0 ( 0%) Annualized + 11.93%
The Nasdaq Composite (-8.85) posted a loss, but the day was decidedly positive for this portfolio model, broadly based measures and the two most popular averages (Dow Industrial +74.30, S&P 500 +5.03).
Tomorrow (Wednesday) concludes the two day Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. This always gets some media attention as analysts guess what the Fed will say relative to their economic forecast and policy change(s) if any.
There is no reason to be anticipatory since the Fed has already firmly stated its intention to continue accommodative policies (including record low interest rates) through 2014.
This does not negate some wild gyrations, but an accommodative Fed is a huge long term support mechanism and is a primary reason the Dow is up around 100% since the identifiable infusion cycle low in early 2009.
The old saying “Don’t fight the Fed” has firm precedent. This portfolio has no indication to change any positions tomorrow.