April 16, 2012
Drach Market ResearchPosition Changes: None.
Major movements (+ or - one point or more among holdings): None.
Basic Summary (positions itemized after daily commentary)
Relative performance (marked to market) vs. S&P 500 since initiation
This Portfolio Model + 211%
S&P 500 + 163%
Portfolio model initiated 5/5/95, archived and marked to market daily.
Initial S&P 500 level 520.12, Initial portfolio value $520,120.00.
Current portfolio value $1,619,393.10, gain 211.35%
These results are reflective as to capital capture and market price of current holdings, itemized below. They do not include cash dividends, interest earned on cash balances, transaction costs, or anything else.
Current Stock vs. Cash Allocation
$1,037,965.94 (64%) stock. $581,427.16 (36%) cash equivalents.
Summary of Closed Positions
Total Positions 459 Average Position
Profit 413 (89.97%) Percentage + 7.19%
Loss 46 (10.03%) Days Held 220
Even 0 ( 0%) Annualized + 11.93%
The week began with a mixed session. The day was positive for this portfolio model and the Dow Industrial (+71.82), slightly negative for the S&P 500 (-0.69), flat for broadly based measures, and clearly negative for the Nasdaq Composite (-22.93).
Scrambled pricing is usually confusing to investors and media. To avoid stress, it is helpful to keep in mind that the mixed pricing (as well as last week’s increase in average daily volatility) is normal at this juncture of the long term underlying cycle.
We are into a combined monetary infusion cycle, created/defined by massive (Federal Reserve + legislated) actions. The identifiable cyclical low was in early 2009. Since then, the Dow has advanced around 100%, following normal sequential pricing patterns. The cycle remains in force.
Today’s activity was statistically dull. No reason to be specially attuned to changing any positions tomorrow (Tuesday), but aware that sudden volatility can quickly change near term data.
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